Finally, thanks
to the left leaning Govt of Greece, the voters of Greece got an opportunity to
wean away from the burden of Euro. The referendum on 5th July 2015
is anxiously awaited by the financial world, especially those in Europe. The hyper
volatility of European stock markets in these days evidences and captures the
mood.
Financial
thoughts have opined as far as three years back why Greece should get out of
Euro, which is created to favour the dominant nations of Euro zone.
The basic reason for the instability is the lack of cohesion i.e. the attempt to have common monetary policy without uniform fiscal policies. Well, since Financial thoughts have mentioned about the same in another blog, we will not dwell much on it now. (Interested readers may please visit http://www.financialstrategyonline.com/2012/02/lamentations-of-greece.html)
The basic reason for the instability is the lack of cohesion i.e. the attempt to have common monetary policy without uniform fiscal policies. Well, since Financial thoughts have mentioned about the same in another blog, we will not dwell much on it now. (Interested readers may please visit http://www.financialstrategyonline.com/2012/02/lamentations-of-greece.html)
The real
beneficiaries of Euro mainly includes Germany – who although lost two world wars has won the
economic war in Europe just as Japan did it in Asia. The Euro is good for the
large business houses of the Europe as it eliminated the foreign exchange risk
and brought in more predictability to the turnover and profits.
Also for some, it
gave a pleasure of a Europe Empire united under one currency, which is
something Napoleon Bonaparte planned in early 1800s. However, let the practical
considerations prevail rather than the romantic ideas of a United Europe – a Europe
united under one currency.
Now the common
man in Greece, Portugal and Italy is suffering under the burden of the colonial
Euro. Under normal circumstances, Greece
would have devalued its currency and attracted more exports (more foreign
currency) or tourism mainly from the same Euro zone countries that would flock
to Greece to enjoy sun and historical moments. Rest of the world would also
flow into Greece. Now the rest of Europe has no added incentive of a devalued
currency to plan a trip to Greece. A trip to Greece almost costs the same as a trip to
France! This would not have been the case, if Greece have its own currency.
Hence, let the
Greeks snatch the opportunity to obtain freedom from the yoke and tyranny
of EURO. Any such decision would lead to some
financial turmoil; however it is worth it. Of course, many people in the
rest of Europe may wish that Greece continue in Euro; however a wise decision may not be satisfying others wish; at the expense of yours.
Disclaimer: Our opinions are based on economic and other conditions now and such conditions may change significantly over relatively short period of time. Should circumstances change significantly after the issue of this report, the conclusions and opinions expressed herein may require revision.
The
statements and opinions
expressed in this report are for academic purposes only and to provoke the
thoughts of the reader.